Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.154155 0.170789 0.187824 0.206533 0.226462 0.247015 0.269775
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.132568 0.155614 0.180097 0.207905 0.238477 0.270933 0.307863
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.115107 0.142305 0.172146 0.207029 0.246397 0.289179 0.338910
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.104343 0.135037 0.169672 0.211153 0.258994 0.311973 0.374611
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.093528 0.126536 0.164796 0.211671 0.266812 0.328919 0.403456
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.084128 0.118793 0.160013 0.211588 0.273361 0.344001 0.429907
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.075403 0.111089 0.154594 0.210138 0.277799 0.356267 0.452853
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.069346 0.106210 0.152175 0.211916 0.285772 0.372461 0.480265
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.065739 0.104174 0.153043 0.217530 0.298246 0.393938 0.513945
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.060383 0.099376 0.150031 0.217981 0.304159 0.407409 0.538036
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.057403 0.097573 0.150711 0.222969 0.315604 0.427543 0.570169
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053421 0.094065 0.148890 0.224531 0.322610 0.442186 0.595659
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.048799 0.089417 0.145414 0.223910 0.326948 0.453772 0.617817
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.045174 0.085961 0.143354 0.224991 0.333356 0.467887 0.643112
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041163 0.081619 0.139809 0.223869 0.336760 0.478156 0.663640
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039141 0.080194 0.140273 0.228109 0.347129 0.497208 0.695143
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.036191 0.077071 0.138115 0.228597 0.352453 0.509821 0.718620
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.033320 0.073849 0.135629 0.228479 0.356862 0.521209 0.740556
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.030317 0.070164 0.132254 0.226934 0.359227 0.529886 0.759037
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.028396 0.068183 0.131334 0.228798 0.366152 0.544453 0.785031
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.027562 0.068055 0.133225 0.234704 0.378622 0.566298 0.820424
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.025553 0.065648 0.131445 0.235176 0.383565 0.578285 0.843221
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.024713 0.065334 0.132928 0.240424 0.395133 0.599029 0.877377